LABOUR is predicted to have a 'landslide' victory if an election was held tomorrow but Salisbury would remain a safe Conservative seat, a new survey has suggested.
The 1997-style majority result is based on responses YouGov collected from 14,110 people who answered between December 12 and January 4.
It would see Keir Starmer enter Downing Street having secured a 120-seat majority with Labour winning 385 Commons seats, a 183-seat increase since the last election.
The Conservatives meanwhile would claim just 169, losing 196 seats compared to 2019.
Despite this drastic change, YouGov predicts Salisbury and the surrounding seats would safely remain Conservative seats.
The question 'which party would you vote for if a general election were being held tomorrow' was put to Salisbury residents and 34 per cent said they would vote Conservative.
Labour would attract the vote of 25 per cent of respondents while 22 per cent would vote Lib Dem, nine per cent would vote Reform UK, eight per cent would vote Green and two per cent would vote 'other'.
Amesbury residents will be voting for an East Wiltshire candidate in the next election as the boundaries will change.
This seat would also remain safely Conservative as 36 per cent of respondents said they would vote Tory.
The Multi-level Regression and Post-stratification (MRP) model was used to gather the data which is the same method that correctly predicted the 2017 and 2019 UK general elections.
A spokesperson for YouGov said: "This model first estimates the relationship between a wide variety of characteristics about prospective voters and their opinions.
"It then uses data at the constituency level to predict the outcomes of seats based on the concentration of various different types of voters who live there, according to what the multilevel model says about their probability of voting for various parties."
Elsewhere in the country, the Green party would keep their single seat in Brighton Pavilion without making further gains but they come very close in Bristol Central at 38 per cent to Labour's 40 per cent.
John Glen, Salisbury's member of parliament, was approached and asked to comment on the survey findings.
To view the YouGov report, including the full survey results, click here.
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